As the buzz around 5G increases, an Ericsson report estimates that the world would have 1 billion such connections by 2023. 5G will cover over 20 percent of the global population in the next five years, states the November edition of the Ericsson Mobility Report. The first commercial networks based on 5G New Radio (NR) would go live in 2019, with major deployments 2020 onward. Early 5G deployments are likely in developed markets like the US, South Korea, Japan, and China. Also Read - Jio 5G service: Reliance Jio, Intel partner to develop 5G network for IndiaAlso Read - Airtel 5G service rollout: Airtel and Tata Group partner for Made in India 5G network
Ericsson had earlier stated that India’s 5G rollout could be on par with these geographies’. In fact, Asia is estimated to account for over half of all 5G subscriptions by the end of 2023. While 4G is the dominant technology now and will be so in 2018, demand for it would subside by 2019. By then, 2G and 3G is also expected to be eased out. Ericsson reckons that by the time 5G crosses 1 billion, the world would have 9.1 billion mobile broadband connections. “We will see the first 5G subscribers in 2018 which will then grow rapidly, basically as fast as with 4G, possibly a bit faster,” Patrik Cerwall, Head of Strategic Marketing and Intelligence at Ericsson, stated. Also Read - JioPhone 5G, budget Jio laptop, Jio 5G service, more announcements expected on June 24
The report further states that mobile data traffic is expected to surge 8X by 2023, touching 110 Exabytes (EB) of usage per month. This corresponds to 5.5 million years of HD video streaming enabled by faster internet speeds brought about by 5G. Most of the mobile data traffic would be caused by video consumption. “The driving force behind video s uptrend are the young millennials those in the 15 to 24 age bracket – who stream 2.5X more than those over 45 years of age,” Ericsson states. As more immersive video formats like 360-degree video become mainstream, mobile data usage will grow further. The difference is significant a YouTube 360-degree video, for instance, uses 4-5X as much bandwidth as a normal YouTube video of the same quality.
In India, the monthly mobile data consumption is expected to grow 11X to 14EB by 2023. Per smartphone usage will increase 5X from current levels of 3.9GB to 18GB during this period. “We expect LTE to be the most dominant technology in India by 2023,” Nitin Bansal, MD of Ericsson India, states. LTE will account for more than 60 percent of the total mobile subscriptions in the country in 2023 compared to the 12 percent it occupies now. VoLTE subscribers in India would grow 42.5 percent to 800 million in the next five years. Ericsson, meanwhile, is already gearing up to work with domestic telcos to deploy 5G across India.